ROAD
SAFETY
INTRODUCTION
The
following is an analytical approach to the question of road safety.
We will examine several important themes and propose solutions to
age-old problems concerning road safety.
The
causes of road accidents are obviously multiple; if not this
problem would not exist to the extent it does and adequate
solutions would already have been provided. Only a global analysis,
precise in its examination of the accident mechanism, can bring
effective solutions. The suggestion that there is one cause and
one solution must be automatically dismissed, as this is
incompatible with both the complexity of the human being and the
development of techniques linked to transport. Miraculous
solutions exist neither in reality nor in the rational mind.
The
parameters influencing road safety can be broken down into seven
major factors:
1.
The driver
2.
Different cultures
3.
The vehicle
4.
The weather
5.
The road network
6.
Regulations
7.
The role of the police
Here
we will deal only with a few in examining accident mechanisms in
our search for the principal causes. It will therefore be possible
to examine each one in a certain amount of detail, if still on a
small scale. It is in combining these details that we will arrive
at a positive result and helpful conclusions on the issue of road
safety.
-
Action in the initial stages
We
believe it necessary to undertake a revision of all the elements
leading to an accident; to identify a problem, as it manifests
itself in its initial stages, should be our aim, rather than
acting on elements which we consider to be the last link in the
chain, for example, alcohol and speed controls on the road.
Basically, we need to concentrate on the prevention of the last
minute, in its entirety, because at this stage of control it is
already almost too late and it would be impossible to have a
member of the police monitor every driver. It is therefore
necessary to determine, precisely and early on, the phenomena
contributing to the genesis of an accident.
To
this end, we have revised 24 causes that we see as direct threats
to road safety and for each one have proposed a solution:
THE DRIVER
1.
TRAINING
We
believe that it is wrong to allow all drivers control of their
vehicles in a large number of situations they risk having to face.
The latter is our opinion because training in the following does
not exist:
-
driving on ice or snow
-
driving at high speed on circuits
-
simulated aquaplaning
-
support evidence from aerodynamics and phenomena of lift
coefficient variation according
to speed.
To
this we must add:
-
a general understanding of factors influencing road holding
-
a general knowledge of the car's mechanics, its workings and
maintenance (no practical exercise
for this).
The
official training program offers too few driving hours for the
driver to be attentive but relaxed at the wheel at the same time.
Moreover, a few months after he gets his license, the driver
begins to feel confident and overestimates his abilities. This
phenomenon, well known in aeronautics, recurs in a cyclical
fashion in a pilot's career and occurs after a certain number of
hours of flying. These cycles are almost identical for all pilots
and coincide often with incidents or accidents. In our case, we
must determine what the cycles are for car drivers, in order to
make them, just beforehand, do some sort of revision of 'alertness'.
To
draw a parallel with aviation; in this domain the least weakness
or failing cannot be allowed for fear of instant catastrophe and
thus elements adapted for security were developed. In fact, in
aeronautics, the object of the training is, of course, to master
all the stages of the flight, but also the mechanics of the
flight, the regulations, meteorology and navigation amongst other
factors. All this to enable the pilot to understand the machine he
is flying and to make safe maneuvers. There is never a question of
skipping over a point of theory or a flight stage ( practicing
take-off, flying in turbulence or at high altitudes, etc....) For
an automobile driver it should be the same. It seems logical and
of common sense to provide training which is adapted to the object
used. This principle is applied in most sectors of activity, but a
lot less so in car driving!
A
more complete and up-to-date training which is adapted to
today's cars needs to be researched and eventually replace the
existing program, and this, topped with an obligation to attend a
driving school a few months after getting the license for a type
of revision of 'alertness'. This latter would allow new
drivers to exchange experiences, analyze them and prevent them
from feeling helpless when it comes to dealing with problems they
may not yet have had to face up to. This would accompany training
that should not stop when the driver gets his license.
2.
PSYCHOLOGY
A
poor knowledge of oneself and of others, on both a behavioral and
physiological level, does not help in anticipating the reactions
of other drivers and does not prepare the driver for crisis
situations. A small amount of advice from a psychologist is
necessary.
3.
SELF-EVALUATION
Another
dangerous phenomenon, and all too common, is error in
self-evaluation and control, either through lack of experience or
self-anesthesia. Fatigue, alcohol, drugs, etc... cause, apart from
impaired vision, a deterioration in reflexes and in the brain's
capacity to reflect and analyze, and it is this same brain that
will evaluate its own state. It is as if all the alertness is
anaesthetized, judgement is altered and therefore the driver will
overestimate his own capability. This overestimation combined with,
for example, bad weather conditions and an inexperienced driver
will create conditions propitious to an accident. The forewarnings
of this state of self-anesthesia can however be recognized by the
driver, and it is through practice and experience that he can use
them advisedly for everyone's safety. But sometimes these signs
are not easily identifiable because everything depends on the
situation and the individual. It is therefore necessary to have
access to some form of simple and objective equipment in the
vehicle to test the driver's reflexes and levels of fatigue. The
result of the test (which is simply read from the equipment) will
not solicit the driver's interpretation and would be thus more
reliable.
4.
HEALTH AND NERVOUS SYSTEM DEFICIENCIES
Taking
large quantities of drugs, such as alcohol, causes a deterioration
of the nervous system in the long term. Even without being under
the influence of these drugs, after a certain threshold of use the
understanding of phenomena around driving is no longer the same.
The user's ability to react, which is slowed down and sometimes
absent, is not adequate to allow for coordination of reflexes and
fast decision-making. When not under the effect of the drug, the
driver may seem fine, but in an unforeseen situation would behave
irrationally. The other fear is that the driver would give into
his urge, take the drug and drive under its influence. In order to
respect the rules of the road the driver needs understanding and a
will, however a characteristic of drugs is that they create mental
and physical inertia and destroy will. No law would have any
influence on the individual in such a state. Blood tests seem an
appropriate way of identifying the most dangerous and
irresponsible cases. It could reveal, for example, if alcohol had
been taken in large quantities regularly, by quantitative research
and an observation of an increase in Gamma GT, triglycerides and
the volume of red blood corpuscles. A positive point for
prevention would be to integrate a full training module on drugs
and their effect on driving into the driving lessons program. It
should make reference to medical facts about human physiology and
on the consequences of fatigue on driving.
5.
CONFRONTING DANGER
To
prepare drivers to face the worst possible situations and to have
a global understanding of the safety problem, training should
include the following:
-
visits to crash test centers for a less intellectual and more
visual and concrete understanding
-
visits to hospitals and dialogue with the disabled victims of road
accidents.
This
heightened awareness of these points could not but be an effective
deterrent.
6.
DISPARITY IN DRIVERS
We
have set out to tackle the issue of road safety in a global and
relativist manner. In fact, all drivers do not have the same
ability as regards competence, knowledge or physical conditions.
Moreover, driving techniques differ from one individual to the
next and represent the personality of the driver to a certain
extent. In this context it is clear that the regulations are a
safeguard to give a driving framework to individuals, but that
this framework cannot cater for all types of drivers. If it tried
to do this it would be inapplicable, as too many combinations
would have to be contemplated. For some, 130km/h on a motorway is
a limit way beyond their possibilities and if they tried it would
be outside the bounds of safety. For others, 130km/h is very much
within their capability. Some drivers, aware of their limits adapt
their driving in accordance with multiple factors: fatigue,
vision, weather, health etc..... No one can decide for them, even
with full knowledge of the facts, if they are fit to drive at any
one moment, for how long and at what speed, to arrive without
incident at the destination. Even if certain texts or exams
facilitated this, it would be absolutely inapplicable in reality
as there would be too many factors to take into account. Moreover,
for each individual, the driving cycles compatible with maximum
safety are different. For some a rest every two hours is not
enough whereas for others it is too much and if the cycles for
optimum safety are modified, the chances of incidents or accidents
occurring are higher:
-
driving at a speed above that of the driver's capability
exhausts the body very quickly and increases fatigue,
but
-
driving at a speed below that of his capability increases the time
taken to complete the journey and causes monotony and disinterest
and therefore the incident or accident is due to lack of
concentration. Exactly like highly-gifted children in a standard
educational set-up, ill-adapted to their high ability, they find
themselves at the bottom of the class. According to specialists,
if the work is too easy the child will show boredom and
disinterest, exactly the opposite to that which is expected from
them.
To
interfere with the ability of each driver, in one way or another,
generates internal conflict.
7.
CHAIN OF EVENTS
In
driving, as in flying, accidents are the result of a succession of
errors or omissions of which the human being is at the origin (even
mechanical breakdown is originated by a person either through an
initial fault in the design or in the manufacture or in
insufficient maintenance). An accident is always preceded by a
succession of events which set up the situation propitious to the
accident. This 'chain of events' begins very early on in the
genesis of an accident. The mechanics of the car are generally
tested through the simulation of several extreme phenomena, for
example, a night flight in bad weather conditions, little fuel and
one in two alternators broken down. All the ingredients for a
catastrophe are here and all that is needed is a simple trigger, a
small electrical failure or short-circuit, to provoke it. The
pilot has, in this situation, no margin for maneuver or safety. To
land in the countryside at night without lighting guarantees
numerous victims. To prolong the flight in these conditions will
inevitably increase the risk exponentially, until the moment when
the chain of events will kick in and the crash will be inevitable,
even programmed (unconsciously perhaps, but programmed). In this
situation the 'decision' must be immediate to reroute and land
in the first possible place. There remains a very slight margin
for maneuver, but it does exist and only expertise and experience
will use this to save the situation. We chose this example because
the similarities with road accidents are considerable and the
chain of events is also present. We must teach the driver to
identify this chain and break it by making a decision.
DIFFERENT CULTURES
Safety
objectives can be reached through different means which must, as
far as possible, be accumulated to reach an optimum result.
However, cultures and mentalities play a large part in the
driver's behavior and in accidents.
-
The English are reputed for being fair and respecting the
individual. Their driving style, like their automobile design,
brings out this particular aspect of the national character.
-
The Germans, probably the most advanced in car manufacturing,
safety and performance, are sufficiently disciplined to allow a
certain amount of freedom, on motorways in particular. The
concept-cars they have designed are extremely innovative, both in
ergonomics and general design, and general safety would be
increased enormously if their solutions were applied today. In
this domain, their domination is already taken for granted and
will go even further with the merging of Daimler and Chrysler.
A
respect for the individual and for discipline is a quality, the
absence of which puts a check on safety. To change mentalities is
probably the most difficult task to achieve. We deduce from this
that the more advanced a population is, the more liberal it is.
THE VEHICLE
9.
Propulsion system and aggressiveness.
Electric
vehicles, from experience, are less stress-inducing and in a way
almost calming compared to vehicles with internal combustion
systems (diesel or petrol). The latter produce fire, gas, noise,
vibrations and aggressive odors. It is therefore relative normal
for the driver to soak up this atmosphere and to adapt to the
environment. There is very definitely a direct link between the
man and the machine and an information exchange which acts on the
aggressiveness via the subconscious. One is generally less
aggressive when holding a flower than when holding a gun. The
object influences behavior, therein lies the interest in making
intelligent and non-stress-inducing cars, which we aim to do in
our innovative approach to automobile design. We could say that
our objective is to put the gun in its case and put the case
behind glass, to neutralize the aggressive effect of the weapon.
Some German research departments, Mercedes for one, have certainly
already realized this aspect, and this is why they pay close
attention to the driver's close environment: comfort, space,
good ergonomics, sound isolation and optimum vibratory.
If
one brings the analogy further, we could make a comparison between
the conceptual approach of Scandinavian car manufacturers like
SAAB and the behavior they induce from the user, very different
from those of southern countries like Italy. The difference in
behavior and automobile manufacturing illustrates this.
This
opens a whole new field for exploration: make more silent cars,
with the passenger cell further removed from the engine
compartment, more comfortable and especially more ergonomic, to
reduce tension and favor concentration on driving. This leads us
on to automobile design and it is here that we find certain faults
which have a directly negative influence on road safety.
10.
Structural resistance
The
construction of strong safe zones in the passenger cell is not
always taken into account in the design of many automobiles. To
take an example, the SAAB900 have a series of uprights in the
windscreen and, around the passenger cell, a tubular roll-over
bar, a little like that of its competitors, but adapted for normal
use. In the event of an accident, there will not be the same
impact on a SAAB 900 with roll-overs as on a vehicle with no
tubular bar. One could come out of an accident unscathed in one
case and dead or injured in the other. Is it right that the state
should pay, in medical care and assistance, for the deficiencies
in automobile manufacturing design? There is a cost for such a
roll-over bar but if some manufacturers have managed to do it why
haven't the others?
11.
Glass resistance
The
film of plastic, which has replaced Muscovy glass, and which is
sandwiched between the windscreen to prevent its shattering, is
not sufficiently solid to prevent the glass breaking in cases of
violent crashes. Materials like polycarbonate and other
high-performance anti-crash films would enable glass and
windscreens to resist far more serious crashes than they presently
can. In fact, polycarbonate, which is used in eyeglasses and for
which an advertisement underlines the mechanical qualities
important for shock-resistance, can resist volleys of buckshot....
12.
Road holding
Road
holding is a determining factor in the prevention of a vehicle's
loss of control. Why limit the swerving factor to a ridiculous
value, when in an emergency-breaking situation, this limitation
will increase the stopping distances or even cause skidding or a
spin-around? We are working on mechanisms for managing swerving
forces in order to increase aerodynamic support.
13.
Brakes
It
also happens that certain vehicles are fitted with very mediocre
braking systems, in comparison with other models or other
manufacturers. We have noticed that certain models are
particularly dangerous in emergency-braking situations, with a
high reaction time, along with a difficult to control wheel
locking. This denotes insufficient stringency in the vehicle's
design.
14.
Making up for shortcomings in design
Certain
manufacturers use electronic methods to hide or to compensate for
shortcomings in design of road holding features, amongst others.
All these mechanisms complicate the vehicle's system and through
the existence of a multiplicity of systems have an influence on
road holding and therefore on safety. Keeping things simple is
also synonymous with safety.
15.
Air bags
Airbags,
veritable life buoys, presented (in particular in an advertisement
with supermodel Claudia Schiffer) as protecting users from the
consequences of an accident, could for certain drivers be an
unwise choice, as
were surprised to find. Feeling reassured because of the existence
of the airbags, these drivers take a lot more risks to the
detriment of other drivers. This is not an exceptional case and
thus quite worrying.
16.
Dazzle
At
night, the dazzling effect of the headlights of passing cars
increases fatigue and also the risk of an accident to a
considerable degree. This problem is present particularly on roads
where there is no dividing line. The solution we advocate is to
use polarizing filters almost vertically onto the lights and to
put another sheet of polarizing film horizontally positioned in
the thickness of the windscreen. The crossing (horizontal and
vertical) of this type of film prevents all light from getting
through. A slight gap, compared to a 90 crossing, allows a slight harmonious flux.
17.
Motivity
Road
holding and driving of front wheel drive and rear wheel drive
vehicles is not the same at all. In both cases training is needed
(which is not presently available- the driver has to learn by
himself) and a period to adapt during which there is a high risk
of accident. Training should be obligatory also because whether
driving on wet roads or on dry roads the road qualities are
inverted according to the propulsion method: rear-wheel drives
hold the road much better if it's dry, however such a vehicle
doesn't hold the road as well as a front wheel drive in wet
conditions. At this level the difficulties are numerous: thus the
necessity for an adapted training to the needs of these car-owners.
18.
Cars deceive
Cars
can be deceptive, in being too reassuring in their motorization-
becoming higher performance in their acceleration, in their
suppleness, in their lightness and in the accumulation of systems
of security consistently boasted about. They are in fact less
solid than their older models because they were designed with
thinner sheet metal, to save on materials, and some have smaller
dimensions. All this limits the resistance in a crash situation
and beyond a certain threshold the death of passengers and drivers
is programmed. This is a general tendency unfortunately, even in
SAAB, which is nevertheless the reference used in safety measures.
The size of the car should in fact be calculated according to its
mass and its speed. The faster one drives, the longer the back
boot and front bonnet must be in order to absorb as much energy as
possible and limit the number of 'g' accordingly. At 130km/h,
a small city car with a full tank, passengers and luggage in a
motorway pile up will be at an obvious disadvantage.
19
Instability
Some
vehicles are unstable when moving above a certain speed, in
general due to a diversion of the wheel axle-units. In this case,
it is the shape of the vehicle which generates a supporting force.
The vehicle seems to drift and could become dangerous at a speed
lower than 130km/h. Other vehicles present, on the contrary, a
very good stability at speeds well beyond those authorized. This
observation brings us to reflect on the :
20.
Disparity of vehicles
There
is a great diversity of vehicles on the road in France. Some
models can operate in difficult climatic conditions safely, others
are more adapted for high speed. But this is not the case with all
models and for some, which are unfortunately not the minority, the
dangers are very real when the vehicles are used in certain
situations. These could be: wet roads, lateral winds, too high a
speed..... In at least one of these situations, these vehicles are
extremely dangerous because of their instability, their inability
to hold the road, their weak capacity to avoid obstacles or their
bad brakes and all this in normal use. These cheap vehicles could
be recent or old, there are no rules. Models over 20 years old
could have superior dynamic qualities to some of today's
vehicles. Approval of the French government vehicle testing
service (M.O.T.) shouldn't exempt the manufacturers from
publishing a type of user's guide with indications of limits and
performance-levels of the vehicle in varying weather conditions
and other conditions of use. To inform the driver of the real
qualities of the vehicle is to prevent a situation where he has to
learn this for himself to his own expense in a critical situation.
It is obvious that driving in heavy rain at 110km/h in certain
cars with propulsion is dangerous if the driver has to brake in an
emergency. The ABS systems and other electronic systems help
greatly in these situations but slightly increase the braking
distance and a good driver in the same vehicle would not use them.
Other vehicles, such as some four-wheel drives are extremely safe
well beyond normal conditions of use and authorized speed. Just as
there are so many different types of cars so too there is a wide
range of competence and ability amongst drivers.
21.Lorries
Lorries
are a prime factor in road accidents and because of the gravity
and consequences of these accidents they often make the headlines.
Whether due to bad upkeep, being overloaded or the number of
driving hours in a certain time period not being respected, they
are always unsafe and the anxiety when overtaking or passing a
lorry has penetrated the collective conscience! Moreover, the
under-motorization of some lorries allows the driver to attain a
stable and constant speed, which leads to slow, dangerous
overtaking- even if this is against the law. Rules of the road
don't always resolve the problems despite what we expect and the
enforcement of these laws is only slightly improving.
We
believe that:
1.
A minimum power per unit of mass of a lorry carrying a full load
should be established by the manufacturers and regulated. For
example, a lorry with 20 tons of PTC and a power of 45cv would
give 20,000kg/450 cv= 44,44kg/cv. An obligatory minimum threshold
in kg/cv should be established to allow a lorry to adapt to the
speed and flow of road traffic.
2.
The competition in this sector and the weak competitiveness of
French companies lead company directors to break the basic safety
rules. To give this sector the means to be competitive would be a
big step towards improved safety. This could probably not happen
without tax relief in the form of removing taxes from diesel oil,
or the granting of other subsidies.
3.
Transporting lorries on trains is also probably a wise solution (already
used in Switzerland) as the existing structures are used first and
foremost. A competitive and realistic price is needed in order for
this option to work.
Technology
can certainly bring us concrete solutions such as automatic
driving under the driver's surveillance. In the meantime, it
seems obvious that what we need are lorries designed to be more
secure and more aerodynamic. In fact, in the event of head-on
collision, the driver has no real protection because of the
truncated front of lorries. The power of the collision will be
absorbed by the driver's cabin and to his detriment. Solutions
that are better researched and more effective than simple
anti-crash bars- all lorries should be equipped with reinforced
circular skirts. In fact, the car is sandwiched between the ground
and the lorry's chassis which weighs several tons and is
consequently completely flattened. When one knows the force of a
collision at 90km/h of a lorry carrying 20 tons, one prays
everytime such a lorry approaches. It is the same as the effect of
a crash of a car travelling at more than 400km/h (not counting the
kinetic energy accumulated by the wheels of the lorry). To be as
dangerous as a lorry, car drivers still have a 270km/h margin!
With a 35 ton lorry, which is more often encountered on the
motorway, the energy produced by a crash at 90km/h is the same as
that of a car travelling at 530km/h. Here the margin is 400km/h
more than the maximum speed limit in France.
REGULATIONS
22.
Retroactivity is impossible
By
this we mean the practice of intervention after an event has
happened with little chance of changing the nature of the event.
This logic is implacable and necessary to take into account in the
real safety regulations. In fact, these regulations which aim to
increase road safety, are more concentrated on intervention after
events have happened- apart from some preventive measures-
punishing the driver a posteriori, for drink-driving, speeding or
drug-taking, etc.... This practice which seems correct does not
bring the expected results; it seems wise therefore to explore
other avenues. Moreover, for certain offences committed in good
faith, the dissuasive effect of the punishment is non-existent
because the offenders were not conscious of the fact they were
committing an offence.
23.
Rational regulations
In
order for the rules to be respected, users must understand their
importance, the increased safety they ensure. Following this
principle, if rules are set up arbitrarily, or even simply with
some contradictions, then the users will distance themselves from
them, and will consider them ineffective. The driver will then
feel superior to them. Such a reaction is perfectly normal in the
mind of a stable individual. If you see that someone is lying to
you, you will find it hard to trust him in the future and when he
tells the truth, you'll hesitate and you'll then find an
accident is possible. An amusing example from a school, in the
words of a news presenter when talking about road safety rules:
ãone would respect the rules more if they made senseä. This
ãphenomenon of extremesä could be compared to that of a
pendulum or a set of scales which, when one takes away the
balancing element, oscillates alternatively between extreme
points.
The more restrictions in a system in which man is present, the
more anti-restraint reactions will manifest themselves as we saw,
to give but a few striking examples, in the French Revolution, or
the Resistance to occupation during the Second World War. We can
say that they often are fuelled by anti-restraint reactions! The
United States made the mistake of applying rules that were so
strict that disproportionate reactions in the form of daily
violence, with an escalation of delinquency and subsequent
crack-downs which go as far as actually creating delinquents.
24.
Regulations and leveling out
The
present rules aim to regulate speed and alcohol levels when
driving. Even if these rules are respected, and taking the worst
possible view, this leaves a part of the driving population free
to surpass the driving competence of dangerous vehicles. And on
the other hand, if we take the most favorable outcome, we have a
lot of very safe vehicles driven by drivers who are over-competent
as regards the authorized maximum limit.
This
example shows that in the first case, it is not completely safe
and that there could be a tendency towards the leveling out of
regulations so that they don't exceed drivers' competence. For
this system to be effective the rules must be respected, which is
not actually the case for reasons mentioned in 23 above and more.
Also, this lowering of limits tends towards blocking traffic flow
and goes against the purpose of the car, which is to allow traffic
flow! Other problems will immediately appear, such as the
underdevelopment of town and country planning. In fact, a simple
speed limit causes a decrease in passenger flow, an increase in
traffic jams, itself
causing an increase in journey time, therefore an increase in
fatigue... and a higher risk of critical situations, even
accident. The analogy with the mechanics of fluids and the laminar
and turbulent flows is fairly unsettling and is maybe not harmless.
These
over-limitations cause the driver to forget some driving
techniques and become bored, as is the case in the US. The limits
are such that the driver can't really feel his reactions any
more, he thus has no more daily awareness, through practice, of
phenomena linked with driving (road holding etc) and therefore of
safety. He simply respects the rules which in an abnormal or
unforeseen situation doesn't enable him to use his competence as
a driver to avoid an accident as this type of driving undermines
the skills of the driver.
A
crucial point to remember is that regulations exist to handle
normal situations whilst the event which precedes an accident is
never a normal situation. These regulations were not written to
deal with the incident but to prevent, as far as possible, an
accident from occurring. When circumstances combine and one
approaches a crisis situation where danger is very near these
regulations are inapplicable: to prevent vehicle B which is in
distress crashing violently into the back of vehicle A, vehicle A
could turn on a red light (which he should) to light up the way
for vehicle B. Skidding on a turn is not dangerous in itself: it
is the reaction of the driver which is and which will provoke an
accident or not. Turning the steering wheel in the opposite
direction, breaking, accelerating etc...... the choices and
combinations are multiple and cannot be improvised. It is
therefore necessary to set up rules for handling an incident: this
is the aim of training. Learning how to handle an incident so that
it doesn't turn into an accident. A regulation that is too heavy,
too complex or too restricting could bring the driver to
concentrate more on the rule itself than on the driving. One
respects rules but also safety!
On
the other hand, in the second case, raising limits such as the
speed or alcohol limits could lead drivers to think they can drive
faster and in a drunken state, which would be a grave error. The
application of one rule for everyone cannot be done in normal
conditions because the variety of people and objects to which the
rule would apply is too large. This seems to be the case in the
domain of the automobile.
The
crackdown in the US generates other behavioral problems (long and
short term) which are too complex to expand on here.
We
believe that in our balanced and advanced society, the greatest
finesse of a government in the exercise of power is to bring
people to respect the rules of life in a society without giving
the population the impression that their freedom is at stake.
The
objective is therefore to teach the driver to know his limits and
not to go beyond them.
THE
COST OF SAFETY
Safety
= Creation of business
As
you will have noticed the training aspect is of prime importance
in our analysis, even if other important measures cannot be
overlooked. For the training necessary to ensure safety, we
would suggest structures independent from the state,
therefore private but state authorized, just as the technical
control centers are. This training, for which there would be a fee,
would be obligatory for all and given first to those with least
training. These would be selected according to the amount of car
insurance surcharge paid; the principle of the no claims bonus
seems an efficient way to evaluate a driver's ability. The most
dangerous (those with maximum surcharges) would go first, the
least dangerous (those with maximum no claims bonus) would go
last. This would allow, on the one hand, the flow of courses to
prevent clogging up courses and on the other, to optimize the
effect of this set-up by attacking the most dangerous first. These
courses could have several levels and themes. They would not be
tested by exam but by continuous assessment during the course. A
certificate at the end of the course stating the abilities and the
deficiencies would suffice in directing new learners to a new
course or towards a consciousness of the necessity for safe
driving. Without going into detail about such a framework which
would take too long here to explain, we are convinced that its
application would be extremely beneficial.
In
fact, apart from its positive effect on safety it would also mean
the creation of businesses to accommodate the operation of the
system and a new market would open. Job creation and spin-off
effects can only be positive. Just as in aeronautical concept, we
have here developed a multifunctional concept: a system which
caters for many needs- safety and jobs in particular.
State
financial investment in such an enterprise would be almost
non-existent as the training companies should be self-sufficient
and profitable. Just a few additions to the multiple-choice
questions in the driving test would be necessary. However, these
and other extra constraints could be misinterpreted and not
accepted by drivers if they are not accompanied by a number of
measures which would compensate for these. These compensations
must give greater liberty and put trust in the driver, which is
logical, as we require them to be more competent. These measures
would produce a fair balance between limitations and freedom.
ARGUMENT
In
the following example, we asked ourselves several questions:
Will
controlling the speed of M.X at an instant T prevent the accident
from happening at this same instant T? Definitely not because:
-
at instant T, which we can say is equal to the duration of speed
control (a few seconds), the probability of an accident occurring
is almost zero considering the very short duration of control (if
this was not the case, this could mean that it was the presence of
the radar that provoked the accident!)
-
since the radar precedes interpellation by several kms, the
likelihood of seeing an accident happen between the position of
the radar and the interpellation is also practically non-existent
considering the short distances involved.
The
effect of speed control is therefore non-existent at this level.
But does speed control have a dissuasive effect (on driving above
the speed limit) in the long term? Definitely, but during a period
P, of which the duration remains to be determined which is rather
hazardous as it is up to each individual to make this decision.
What are the real effects of dissuading these drivers from driving
above the speed limit during the period P? They are multiple. To
decrease speed is to reduce the gravity of accidents and to
prevent some from happening. But it also increases the driving
time and the time spent in risk zones, and thus increases the
likelihood of an accident. It is partly for these reasons that the
effect of speed limits on safety is often mitigated If we consider
that the drivers are solely responsible for their vehicle, will a
speed limit prevent them from having an accident?
At
this level of reasoning, one starts to diverge from the initial
objective which is to decrease the number of accidents and not the
speed limit. In fact, speed is thought to be the cause of numerous
accidents, which seems a priori true. The link between speed and
accidents seems at first so obvious to all that it was probably
set up too subjectively. On reflection this link seems too simple
and unique, which is contrary to the 'chain of events'. This
chain cannot be questioned because it is
founded on analysis and experience and has already proved
its veracity. To convince ourselves of the validity of this
reasoning, it suffices to take the most flagrant e.g. an accident
in fog, generally connected to driving at excessive speed. But we
cannot attribute all the responsibility for the accident to the
lack of visibility, of which the origin could be: absence or
faulty front fog lights, bad night vision due to degeneration of
eye rods, presence of frosty fog (whatever the speed, a pile up is
guaranteed) dazzling effect of passing vehicles creating retinal
persistence, over-fatigue for driving in this type of environment,
bad road-markings, lack of precise weather forecast and
information on the states of the roads, badly set mirrors, lights
badly set, faulty sidelights, faulty back fog lights, lorries with
bad signaling (the regulations concerning signs on lorries in fog
is insufficient, the intensity and the number of back fog lights
should be increased), but also driving too fast of course.
However
it is again on the last link of the chain of events that we act
but it is already too late: the accident is already programmed. In
the US, however, speed is very limited and controlled. We would
think that because of the great lengths to which they have gone,
that limits are respected, which is fairly true in practice (except
for those who practice daily delinquency other than that linked to
road safety regulations). In Germany, some roads have no speed
limits and on those that have, the limits are respected. These two
countries, with opposing ideas about speed regulation and average
speed, (the most important) must face questions of road safety.
Speed doesn't enter as a principle parameter in the accident
equation. More fundamental causes must be researched and it would
be wrong to stop once again on this last link of the chain of
events. Speed shouldn't be considered as the trigger, contrary
to appearances (even if this is sometimes the case), but as an
aggravating factor, because of the accumulated kinetic energy
which increases with the speed squared: a crash at 127 km/h is
twice as serious as a crash at 90km/h. That which we take for
granted should often be analyzed in detail taking experience and
practice into account.
ALREADY
POSITIVE
It
seems that a certain number of excellent mechanisms, already in
place have been responsible for very notable improvements, even if
they are not always visible. These mechanisms have probably
prevented road accidents from being more serious.
Included
are:
-
accompanied driving- the insurance companies have lowered premiums
for these drivers,
-
obligatory technical testing,
-
dialogue with victims of road accidents,
-
introducing road safety and driving to young children.
It
would seem a pity to stop while the going is good.
CONCLUSION
When
all possible measures to improve road safety have been taken, the
number of accidents will inevitably move towards an asymptote, as
there will always be some risk. Even if technology and reflection
bring us solutions for the future, we can do no more than accept
this fact, knowing that some accidents will unfortunately still be
fatal. It would be possible to extend this study to define a
number of mechanisms and how they would be applied in practice.
However, I do not wish to do so without having a guarantee that
they will be taken into account, as the work involved would be
considerable.
|